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A health impact assessment of increased aspirin use in Wales.

Morgan G

Welsh Aspirin Group Secretary, 41 Ffordd Beck, Gowerton, Swansea, Wales SA4 3GE, UK. morgan@ffordbeck.fsnet.co.uk

AIM: To estimate the likely magnitude of health impact if all individuals at increased risk of cardiovascular events in Wales (total population 2.9 million) took low-dose aspirin. METHODS: Data from a variety of different sources were collected and systematically combined using simple methods and conservative assumptions. RESULTS: Aspirin may reduce cardiovascular mortality by 2-25% and avoid 330-3250 deaths per annum after allowing for a small number of fatal undesirable effects. COMMENT: Wales might lead the way in developing an aspirin programme.

Published 13 June 2005 in Public Health, 119(8): 734-7.
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